Major Twist in Bengal Exit Polls? (Image Source: Dynamite News)
New Delhi: The 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections witnessed a tremendous voter turnout this time around. In the first phase, approximately 92.88% voting was recorded across 152 seats, while the second phase also saw a massive number of voters participating across 142 seats. Now, all eyes are fixed on the results scheduled to be declared on May 4th.
The figures emerging from the exit polls this time are both intriguing and somewhat confusing. While some surveys project a lead for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), others predict a comeback for the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC).
According to the exit poll conducted by Chanakya Strategies, the BJP could secure 150–160 seats—a tally sufficient to cross the majority mark.
Conversely, the TMC+ alliance is projected to win between 130 and 140 seats. Other parties are expected to secure 6–10 seats.
The P-Marq exit poll projects an even larger lead for the BJP. According to this survey, the BJP is expected to win between 150 and 175 seats, while the TMC+ alliance is projected to be limited to a range of 118 to 138 seats.
The exit poll conducted by Matrize presents a slightly different scenario. In this survey, the TMC appears poised to win between 146 and 161 seats—a figure that places them above the majority threshold. Meanwhile, the BJP is projected to secure 125 to 140 seats.
The real electoral battle in this election lies squarely between Mamata Banerjee's TMC and the BJP. The Congress and Left parties appear to be hovering near the zero mark in the exit polls this time, effectively turning the contest into a two-way race.
The exit polls clearly demonstrate one thing: the electoral battle is extremely fierce. While some surveys project a BJP government, others signal a return of the TMC. This means that the Bengal election is set to be incredibly exciting this time around.
It is important to remember that exit polls are merely projections. They have proven to be incorrect on numerous occasions in the past—particularly in Bengal. Therefore, the actual outcome will only become clear on May 4th.
