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Bihar gears up for a high-stakes Assembly battle. NDA and INDIA bloc face off, with development, caste dynamics, anti-incumbency likely to decide who wins in 2025. Read the article for full details…
The counting will be on November 14.
Patna: As Bihar gears up for its Assembly elections on November 6 and 11, 2025, the political battlefield is heating up between the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the opposition INDIA bloc.
With Nitish Kumar leading the NDA and Tejashwi Yadav heading the INDIA coalition, the state is set for a high-stakes contest where development promises, caste dynamics, and anti-incumbency sentiment will play a decisive role in determining who wins the mandate.
NDA (National Democratic Alliance): Led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's JD(U) and the BJP, the NDA is aiming for a third consecutive term. The alliance also includes smaller parties like LJP(R) and HAM(S).
INDIA Bloc: Comprising the RJD, Congress, Left parties, and VIP, the INDIA bloc is presenting a united front against the NDA. Tejashwi Yadav of the RJD is the chief ministerial candidate for the opposition.
Elections to be held in 2 phases
The upcoming elections are expected to be influenced by several factors:
Development vs Identity Politics: The NDA is emphasizing its development agenda, highlighting infrastructure projects and governance improvements. In contrast, the INDIA bloc is focusing on social justice, employment, and addressing caste-based disparities.
Anti-Incumbency Sentiment: While Nitish Kumar's leadership has been credited with stabilizing the state, there is a growing sentiment of anti-incumbency, especially concerning issues like unemployment and migration.
Caste Calculations: Caste dynamics continue to play a significant role in Bihar's politics, with both alliances attempting to consolidate support among various caste groups.
Political analysts suggest that the Bihar 2025 Assembly elections could be extremely close, with no clear favorite at this stage. The NDA, led by Nitish Kumar and BJP, benefits from incumbency, strong organizational structure, and development-focused narratives, particularly in urban and semi-urban regions.
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On the other hand, the INDIA bloc, Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD banking on anti-incumbency sentiment, youth engagement, and consolidation of social and caste-based votes.
Recent opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck contest, with voter turnout, last-minute campaigning, and key local issues likely to decide the final outcome. Observers note that even small swings in rural constituencies could tilt the balance in favor of either alliance, making the battle unpredictable until votes are counted.
