Bihar Politics: Why did Kejriwal leave Delhi for Bihar? How tough is the journey of fighting elections alone?

The biggest strength of the INDIA alliance is its message of unity. It aims to consolidate anti-Modi votes, but the moment cracks appear in this unity, the votes could split—especially among urban and Muslim youth who want to defeat the NDA.

New Delhi: The biggest strength of the INDIA alliance is its message of unity. The anti-Modi vote is to be united, but as soon as there is a crack in it, the votes can be divided first. Especially among urban and Muslim youth who want to defeat the NDA. Mistrust will increase in Congress and regional parties, due to which there will be a lack of mutual coordination.

In such a situation, BJP will directly benefit because their core vote bank is stable and dedicated. According to the Dynamite News correspondent, a party like AAP will get a chance to be seen as a 'third option,' but at the same time it will clash with both BJP and Congress, which can increase difficulties. In such a situation, if Kejriwal's party enters the fray without any alliance in the Bihar Assembly elections 2025, then they may have to face many big challenges.

1. Organizational weakness

AAP's ground network in Bihar is very weak. There are neither workers at the Panchayat level nor booth management. In such a situation, organizational weakness can be seen.

2. Lack of local faces

AAP does not have any face in the state who can compete with Nitish, Tejashwi, or Chirag Paswan.

3. Lack of understanding and grip of caste equations

Bihar's politics is based on caste arithmetic. AAP has not yet fit into it. In such a situation, this is the third and biggest challenge for Kejriwal.

4. Challenge of financial and logistical resources

Fighting assembly elections in the entire state is expensive and complicated. The party will need huge resources.

5. Confrontation with both BJP and RJD-Congress

If AAP is in the fray alone, it will be seen as the third player on every seat, but winning will be difficult.

Will Kejriwal be able to win the Bihar elections without any alliance?

If Kejriwal has to face these big challenges, then it is obvious that the election fight is going to be very difficult for Kejriwal.

Instead of not winning in Bihar, AAP may get an opportunity to "show influence," like respectable performance in some seats or inclination of Muslim-youth voters. Issues like the Delhi model and education-health can give AAP some recognition, but Bihar voters vote more on an emotional and caste basis, which does not match AAP's style.

Is AAP's decision to fight alone right?

It is a politically bold but risky decision. If the party is not able to perform well, it can weaken its influence at the national level. But even if it fights on 10-15 seats and performs well in 3-4 places, then AAP can make ground for the future in Bihar.

AAP's fighting Bihar elections alone is an experimental strategy. It is difficult to win, but the party can do this with the aim of image building and preparing ground for the future. If the rift in the INDIA alliance deepens, then AAP will try to become the third option, but the lack of local leadership, weakness of organization, and the complexities of caste politics can hold it back.