How much loss will India incur if it stops buying Russian oil under US pressure?

Written by Karan Sharma August 1, 2025

The US is pressuring India to halt oil imports from Russia, which could lead to several challenges for India:

Rising Fuel Prices

Without cheap Russian oil, India will have to turn to costlier alternatives, increasing petrol and diesel prices and fueling inflation.

Impact on Industrial Production

Disruptions in energy supply could raise factory and transportation costs, negatively affecting the economy.

Pressure on Forex Reserves

Paying in dollars for oil from other countries will deplete India’s foreign exchange reserves and weaken the rupee.

Strained Ties with Russia

Russia has been a strategic ally, and cutting oil trade could hurt defense cooperation (e.g., S-400 deal).

China Gains an Advantage

Russia has been a strategic ally, and cutting oil trade could hurt defense cooperation (e.g., S-400 deal).

Independent Image

Bowing to US pressure could damage India’s reputation for "strategic autonomy" in global diplomacy.

Political & Public Backlash

Expensive fuel may trigger public anger, putting the government under pressure.

Abandoning Russian oil could be an expensive move—both economically and diplomatically. India must carefully balance US pressure with its national interests.